| ONTARIO:
At the Centre of Canada’s
Unsustainable Nuclear System
|
A submission
to the Ontario Citizen’s Inquiry on Uranium Mining
By Jim Harding, Ph.D.
April 2008
I have just
travelled through southern Ontario to learn more about its place in Canada’s
nuclear fuel system. I found that Ontario has big footprints from all
parts of the nuclear fuel system: from uranium mining in Elliot Lake,
to uranium refining in Blind River, to uranium conversion in Port Hope,
to many Candu nuclear power plants strung along the Great Lakes. And I
also found that Ontario has a central place in the history of nuclear
weapons.
1. From
The Ottawa Valley to the Great Lakes
In my first trip in January 2008 I was in the Ottawa Valley region, including
West Quebec, speaking at public meetings in Ottawa, Wakefield, Carleton
and Perth. At the time an impressive alliance was growing between Algonquin
First Nations and Settlers to win an Ontario moratorium on uranium exploration
in the Mississippi watershed. There are now 15 municipalities including
Canada’s capital city supporting such a moratorium. There is also
a growing number of environmental, church and NGO organizations calling
for a fundamental review of Ontario’s Mining Act, which allows mining
companies like Frontenac the right to trespass without permission on unceded
Aboriginal land, and private land without subsurface rights.
Seven First Nations leaders are now in Ontario jails for contempt of court
because they placed the protection of land and water and their acknowledged
Aboriginal rights above Ontario’s 100 year-old Mining Act. Because
they are protecting the common watershed, and upholding the Charter of
Rights and international law, they are acting for all Canadians.
My second trip to Ontario in late March and early April 2008 started at
the YMCA’s national conference centre at Lake Couchiching, near
Barrie, at a national meeting of Canada’s Physicians for Global
Survival (PGS), where I presented on the environmental health hazards
of the nuclear fuel system. The intense process of the doctors was invigorating,
as they looked at both the health implications of climate change and the
expansion of the nuclear system, including proliferation, and came to
a two-track action plan to promote and protect public health. This was
medical diagnosis and treatment at its collective best.
I then
witnessed first hand the environmental health consequences of the nuclear
fuel system at Port Hope, the longest acting site of uranium processing
on the planet. I witnessed the harbour where radioactive material was
dumped from the 1930s on and children continued to play for decades. Understandably,
there is a deep undercurrent of stress, even fear, about how 75 years
of uranium contamination has affected worker and public health. The citizens
health group has undertaken its own preliminary study of radioactive body
burden, and independent analyses of official health data, and though the
federal government continues to deny any excess cancers, it is to start
a partial removal of radioactive soil in 2009.
I then travelled to Kingston where retired Algonquin Chief and law Professor
Bob Lovelace was sentenced to 6 months in jail for opposing uranium exploration
at Sharbot Lake. Because of Kingston’s important place in founding
the country, it was a good place to reflect on what Canada’s nuclear
politics says about the health of the “Canadian project”.
It is telling that Ontario is making First Nations leaders into political
prisoners for protesting unsustainable and dangerous energy policies.
First Nations’ female speakers reminded us “we are all sitting
in the medicine wheel and that it is now a human medicine wheel.”
I then travelled to Hamilton and later to Kitchener-Waterloo, where I
talked to a variety of groups, including high school, church, peace, university
and physician groups, about the history of the nuclear fuel cycle in Canada.
In these presentations I discussed why nuclear energy is not a fix for
climate change; how Canadian uranium is still in the nuclear, including
depleted uranium (DU), weapons stream; and how the economics of the nuclear
industry just don’t “add up” once a careful, full carbon
cycle analysis and cost-comparison is done with energy efficiency and
the renewables.
On these two trips, I quickly realized how complex the nuclear situation
is in Ontario compared to my home province, Saskatchewan. Some of the
Ottawa Valley people trying to stop uranium exploration in their back
yards were just becoming aware that Elliot Lake was one of Canada’s
two main sources for uranium for the U.S. nuclear arsenal. I realized
that it was not only radioactive contaminants, but also an unsettling
history of secrecy and collusion, that was buried in Port Hope. And I
came to better grasp how Ontario people had come to feel so dependent
upon electricity generated at the Bruce, Pickering or Darlington Candu
plants.
Feeling dependent, whether in the addictions sense or in terms of nuclear
power, never encourages deeper understanding. To start to fathom Ontario’s
mindsets and dilemmas I was challenged to do a lot of “deconstructing”.
Though my trip began with conversations about environmental health it
soon grew into one on the Canadian history of nuclear complicity and the
challenges to alter Canadian energy policy. I now want to share this journey
with you.
2.The Nuclear
Fuel Cycle and Environmental Health
Ontario people quickly became more non-nuclear as they learned that radon
gas, the second highest world-wide cause of lung cancer, becomes more
bio-available with uranium exploration; and as they learned of the legacy
of contamination from radioactive tailings left at Ontario’s uranium
mine and processing sites. And there are positive signs that medical groups
in Canada are ready to join with the important Indigenous and Settler
coalition in the interests of both environmental and human health.
Public Health Hazards of Uranium Mining:
PGS members at Counchiching returning from a recent meeting in India of
sister organization Indian Doctors for Peace and Development (IDPD), brought
news of a just-released study on the public health risks to people living
near India’s uranium mines. The health of Indian villagers living
in 2118 households near uranium milling plants and mine tailings was compared
to that of those living in 1904 household 30-35 KM away. Those living
nearby the uranium mines had statistically significantly higher levels
of congenital deformation and deaths from these, more primary sterility
levels, and more cancers as cause of death, and, perhaps most significant,
lower life expectancy.
The ideology of energy-driven economic growth, which the nuclear industry
wholeheartedly endorses, argues that economic development opportunities
provided to disadvantaged local people by uranium mining will assist them
in improving their lives. This has been the thrust of Cameco’s promotions
within Indigenous communities in northern Saskatchewan. The health of
uranium mineworkers everywhere, known for decades to have higher lung
cancer rates, is somehow traded off for the improved wellbeing of others
– or so the implicit ideo-logic goes. But public health never gets
directly studied. When it does get studied, as in the recent Indian research,
the ideology of progress through contamination is shown to be a complete
sham. Not only do miners but also local residents suffer from radiation-induced
illnesses, but they also live shorter lives than in villages that are
considered poorer. As the researchers say, “The health of indigenous
people around uranium mining areas is more vulnerable in spite of the
fact that their economic and educational status is better…”
The profile of illnesses is similar to that found among people living
near uranium mines at Shiprock, New Mexico, and they seem very similar
to reports from Navajo and Lakota communities near US uranium mines. And
just why has no such study of public health among those living near uranium
mines been done in Canada? The national nuclear program is a symbol of
national pride in Canada as it is in India. But this pride seems to permanently
blind proponents to the environmental health costs and proliferation risks
that come with this dangerous technology. It seems clear that an independent
medical group will have to initiate the public health studies here, as
was done in India.
The desperate situation in Port Hope confirms this. High radon gas levels
were finally revealed to the public in 1975. A health study was to be
done in 1979, and again in 1997, but one has never occurred. Finally in
2007 the Port Hope Community Health Concerns Committee (PHCHCC) asked
the Uranium Medical Research Centre to assist in a pilot study, the results
of which show that both ex-workers and residents have man-made uranium
isotopes in their bodies.
Challenging
Nuclear Collusion:
In the middle ages, those who arrested people and those who charged and
tried them, were pretty much the same in-group, and it has taken centuries
of democratic struggle to create some semblance of due process and rule
of law. The interrelations between federal agencies that are to protect
public and environmental health from the nuclear industry and those meant
to regulate the nuclear industry are so intertwined that they can be considered
more feudal than democratic. The path to a sustainable society will require
renewed activities for deepening democracy.
The collusion we see among the state-funded and regulated nuclear industry
may explain why we have no public health studies of uranium mining or
uranium processing. They probably explain why our radiation standards
have remained far below those of the US and other countries, in spite
of evidence of the increased risk that existing legal limits present to
Canadian workers and the public at large. And this collusion likely explains
why the AECL, CNA and other nuclear promoters have been so silent about
the rash of studies showing greater incidence and death from leukemia
among children living nearby nuclear facilities in England, France and
Germany. Canadians are not going to have a different biological response
to “low” level radiation than people in India, or these European
countries.
The historical influence of the nuclear industry on the Canadian state
means that environmental health has been sacrificed for military alliances
and energy-driven economic growth. It is because of the uranium bull market,
and a shortfall of uranium fuel for existing nuclear power plants, that
there is even exploration for low-grade uranium in the Ontario’s
Mississippi watershed. This, in turn, is partly because Saskatchewan’s
Cigar Lake mine, which was expected to supply 17% of the world uranium
market, has flooded. Ontario Premier McGuinty apparently didn’t
know that Saskatchewan still has lots of high-grade uranium reserves,
but exporting most uranium to the US and France leaves a short-fall for
Ontario’s Candu plants. This is similar to what occurs with the
export of all heavy oil from AB’s tar sands to the US, which leaves
eastern Canada having to import oil from OPEC countries. It’s clearly
time to change directions and work for a made-in-Canada energy policy
that puts sustainability at the top of the list.
3. Canadian
Uranium in the Nuclear Weapons Stream
The nuclear collusion that leaves Canadians in the dark about environmental
health has a darker origin. We like to think of ourselves as supporters
of multilateralism and even as global peacemakers. Though the Harper government’s
branch-plant foreign/military policy makes this more difficult each day,
this self-image also flies in the face of our central role in the production
of nuclear weapons.
Launching
the Nuclear Nightmare:
The Port Hope, Ontario plant previously used to refine radium was reopened
to process uranium from Port Radium in the NWT and the Belgium Congo to
go to the U.S. for the Manhattan Project in 1943. Canada thus remains
complicit in the first use of thermo-nuclear weapons on humans: the long,
thin uranium bomb called Little Boy dropped on the Japanese civilians
of Hiroshima, and the squat plutonium bomb called Fat Man dropped on Nagasaki.
In both cases the civilians were unaware that they had been picked for
these first tests of atomic weaponry.
Later, British scientists separated plutonium from the NRX reactor, which
started operating near Ottawa at Chalk River in 1946. This plutonium was
likely used in Britain’s first atomic test at the Monte Bello Islands,
and the nuclear technology helped the UK develop its nuclear arsenal.
Chalk River was also the site of the pilot work done for Britain’s
Windscale reprocessing plant. The NRU reactor built at Chalk River in
1957 produced plutonium that was sold to the US nuclear weapons’
programme to help defray Chalk River R& D costs.
No matter how we try to rationalize it, Canada helped launch and sustain
the nuclear nightmare. But Canada’s nuclear elite has worked hard
to keep this all a secret. In Saskatchewan we only realized in the late
1970s that 25 years before Eldorado Nuclear started producing uranium
from Uranium City mines which went through Port Hope to the US for their
nuclear weapons. I don’t think it has yet sunk in that up until
the late 1960s we were one of the U.S.’s major nuclear-weapons front-ends.
Most people in Ontario likely still don’t know that uranium mines
at Elliot Lake, Bancroft and other locations were also the front-ends
for the U.S. nuclear arsenal.
Canada’s schizoid identity regarding peace and war in the nuclear
age is reflected in two of our most famous political leaders. The same
Lester Pearson who received the Noble Peace Prize for his work during
the Suez crisis, and went on to be a pioneer of UN peacekeeping, was the
Member of Parliament for Elliot Lake when it shipped uranium to the US
for its weapons program. Tommy Douglas, the father of Medicare who went
on as a Member of Parliament to oppose nuclear-armed bomarc missiles on
Canadian soil, was Premier of Saskatchewan when uranium was secretly shipped
from the Uranium City mines to the US weapons program.
Though news coverage of the regulatory fiasco over medical isotopes produced
at Chalk River has begun to lift the veil, much of this history remains
buried. From its start-up in 1957, AECL’s NRU reactor used natural
uranium as fuel and sold the plutonium to the U.S. military. In 1964 the
NRU was converted to use weapons-grade, highly enriched uranium (HEU)
as fuel, and the irradiated fuel rods were returned to the Savannah River
military facility to be reprocessed to extract the remaining HEU for the
U.S. military. In 1974 an AECL-donated reactor was used to produce plutonium
for India’s first nuclear weapon. In 1991 the NRU was again converted,
this time to use less enriched uranium, after the US Schumer Amendment
called for an end to exports of weapons-useable materials. However the
NRU, and both over-cost Maple reactors being built to replace it, still
use uranium enriched just below the 20% cut-off point needed for weapons.
And both designs continue to use HEU as Targets to produce the medical
isotope Molydenum-99, after which weapons-grade HEU continues to accumulate.
After the NPT:
For many who know something of this history, the “weapons’
connection” ended when Canada signed the Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT) in 1970. No so. The expansion of uranium mining in Northern Saskatchewan
and its continuation in Northern Ontario into the 1980s is still widely
thought to be about the “peaceful atom” providing another
source of energy after the “energy crisis” of the mid-1970s.
There remains a lot of confusion about this period. This was actually
an economic, not energy, crisis brought on by rising oil prices after
the formation of OPEC by oil-producing developing countries. Not only
was nuclear-generated electricity not able to replace the vast majority
of uses of oil, since very little electricity is produced with oil, but
nuclear energy proved to not be the most cost-effective way to meet the
growing demand for electricity. (Demand-side reduction, co-generation,
natural gas and now wind are all least-cost options.) As such, nuclear
power did not actually expand that much in the post-OPEC world. Global
capacity, predicted by the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) to be 1,000 Gigawatts
(GW) by 1990, turned out to be a quarter of that, or 260 GW. And even
with the so-called “nuclear renaissance”, in October 2007
the IAEA only projected from 447 to 679 GW as the total global nuclear
capacity by 2030.
Prior to the 1988 Free Trade Agreement (FTA) guaranteeing security of
Canadian energy supply for the US, the U.S. had already shut down its
domestic uranium industry, and by the early1980s Saskatchewan’s
new mines became the U.S.’s nuclear front-end. Though the demand
for nuclear power plants did not skyrocket (e.g. more than 100 planned
US nuclear plants were cancelled) the U.S. under Reagan continued to stockpile
imported uranium. When we realized how depleted uranium (DU) is diverted
from the enrichment process into the military it became clear that Canadian
uranium was still going into the U.S. weapons stream.
With 58 reactors providing 70% of France’s electricity, and the
country still active in nuclear weapons’ testing, France also targeted
Saskatchewan’s high-grade uranium deposits. Even though France was
not yet a signatory to the NPT, and its military-industrial nuclear system
was fully integrated, Canada and Saskatchewan approved the export of uranium
to France. Cogema of Areva, France is still second only to the largely
US-share owned Cameco in global uranium production, primarily out of Saskatchewan.
Saskatchewan and Ontario history is intimately interlocked regarding nuclear
weapons both before and after the NPT. The NDP government-supported attempt
to build a uranium refinery near the Mennonite town of Warman, near Saskatoon,
Saskatchewan in 1980 met with such opposition that the federal government
withdrew the proposal and built the new refinery in its more tested nuclear
hinterland, Ontario. After Saskatchewan’s mammoth Cluff and Key
Lake mines opened in the early 1980s, the uranium went to the new Blind
River plant for refining, and then on to Port Hope where it was converted
for use in the Candu and U.S. Light Water Reactors (LWR). Some uranium
was converted into uranium dioxide (U02), which was then made into fuel
bundles for the Candu. Most was converted into uranium hexafluoride (UF6),
which was then exported to the lucrative US market for enriching as fuel
for their LWR. The enrichment process involves concentrating the fissionable
U235 to about 5%, but this only involves about 10% of the volume of the
imported uranium. The rest, mostly U238, is called DU. This is only a
waste product in terms of the requirements of the LWR. It’s not
a waste product to the US military who can still get plutonium out of
the U238, just as was done with the original natural uranium-using Chalk
River design. Also, by the 1990s the US Pentagon “defence”
contractors were producing shells and coating weapons with DU, something
that was envisaged along with other radiological weapons back in the Manhattan
Project. These toxic and radioactive DU weapons have been used in the
four most recent US-NATO war zones.
This was all done under the cover of the NPT and “peaceful atom”.
It is ironic but telling that the US company, that wants to buy the $400
million dollar taxpayer subsidized company that built the “Canada
Arm” for peaceful exploration of space, is the largest producer
of DU weapons. We now know that since Canada signed the NPT that Port
Hope has been directly involved in DU weapons research and production.
Proof exists that this was done at least until 1992 in collaboration with
the Royal Military College and U.S. Aerojet. The Port Hope citizen’s
health study found DU and isotopes from enriched uranium and spent fuel
in the bodies of past workers and residents of Port Hope. Neither Cameco
nor, before that, Eldorado was licensed to process these uranium isotopes.
The Ontario story about the environmental health effects of the nuclear
fuel system is thus intertwined with past and continuing complicity with
nuclear and uranium weapons. When we realize that carcinogenic alpha-emitting
uranium aerosols left from DU weapons used in Iraq and elsewhere are likely
the main cause of increasing childhood cancers in the region, we will
also have to face up to the realization that those responsible are going
to be seen as war criminals, if not now, by future generations. The amorality
will likely be as incomprehensible to future generations are past genocidal
actions to us. So we must begin to honestly and in conscience connect
the dots along the nuclear fuel system, and Ontario is clearly where this
is most likely to happen.
4. Softening
Ontario’s Energy System
Standing in the way of admitting our complicity in the development of
nuclear weapons and warfare is a perceived dependence on nuclear-generated
electricity. What is the potential for lifting the veils on this collective
denial?
The McGuinty government has somehow become convinced it needs more nuclear
power to meet future electrical demand in Ontario. Pressure to close down
coal plants due to their role in creating GHGs, and unhealthy air quality
that contributes to lung ailments such as asthma, has contributed to this
decision. This may seem quite reasonable until you look at the assumptions,
timelines and motives.
Studying Electrical History:
A short history of Ontario Hydro’s electrical supply and demand
is very revealing. From 1958-2002 demand for electricity grew an average
of 4% a year, which in real terms meant electrical consumption went from
28,000 to 145,000 GW.hours. This massive growth shows how averages can
be misleading. But it is also misleading to only look at electrical energy
production. More important is what is called electrical productivity,
which measures the benefits you get from the use of electricity.
In this regards there are three periods. From 1958-1973 electrical energy
productivity actually declined - which means growth in electrical consumption
was higher than overall economic growth. However, between 1973-1983, energy
productivity started to level out at the rate of economic growth (2.4
% for both). After 1993 we see electrical energy productivity improving
- which means growth in electrical consumption was lower than overall
economic growth.
There was a different story on the supply side. Over this period (1958-2002)
Ontario Hydro went from producing most electricity from hydro to adding
in coal and then nuclear power plants. There were some efforts at conservation
in the 1980s, though the potential of renewable energy was not on its
radar screen.
Expensive nuclear promotions and ongoing nuclear subsidies in the post-OPEC
era impaired the ability to understand the actual supply-side economics.
Though most people in Ontario probably think they are dependent on the
Candu for their electrical security, this is simplistic and largely untrue.
In 1993, nuclear power’s contribution to Ontario’s electrical
supply reached an all-time high of 55%, just after the most recent plant
started up at Darlington. But its contribution immediately began to decline
due to mounting performance and safety issues with the prematurely aging
Candu reactors. Eight large nuclear plants were shut down for expensive
repairs in the mid-1990s, some of which never returned to service. The
absolute output of the nuclear plants nosedived and its relative contribution
to the total supply dropped even faster as the Ontario economy began the
transition to a more efficient and productive electricity system. By 2003,
nuclear’s share of Ontario electrical supply had dropped to 41%;
but if we count the growth of electrical productivity as a new source
of “supply”, nuclear’s share dropped to only 30%.
In fact, it is the improvement in electrical efficiency and productivity,
this new source of “supply”, that has been principally responsible
for averting a crisis in electrical supply over the last 15 years. Without
this there would have been demand for another 50,000 GW.hours of electricity
during this period. The amount of electricity saved by energy productivity
or efficiency was equal to that produced by all Ontario dams, or all its
coal plants. It was just behind that produced by all Candu plants (26%
compared to 30%), and three times the decline in the output from nuclear
plants during this period.
If people in Ontario think that their electrical system depends upon the
expansion of nuclear power they are in for a big surprise, and perhaps
a big shock. The scenario that Premier McGuinty is painting is more political
than technological. It has new nuclear plants coming on stream to replace
the coal plants that are to be shut down to reduce smog and GHGs. Closing
these coal plants has now been pushed back to 2014. But even this is unrealistic.
Even if new nuclear plants was the way to replace the GHGs from coal,
which it is not, new nuclear plants are only scheduled to come on stream
by 2018. Based on past experience it’s more realistic that they
would not be ready until 2022. To speed up the process the Harper government
is supporting the AECL’s call for pre-licensing, and has disciplined
the CNSC to accept its role as a co-promoter of nuclear energy. However,
the AECL has no track record for its proposed new design, which uses regular
water as its coolant and uses slightly enriched uranium (SEU), and could
use reactor spent-fuel from LWRs, as fuel.
As such, it is unlikely that the AECL will be cost-competitive with foreign
nuclear companies such as France’s Areva, which is more established
with this design. With 80% of Canadians wanting Canada to own and control
its own nuclear industry, expanding nuclear power in Ontario is likely
to turn into a broader battle over foreign ownership and Canada’s
own energy security. AECL may be destined to become a Candu repair service,
hopefully as part of a nuclear phase-out along the lines being followed
successfully in Germany.
Then, there’s the nasty fact that only a few of Ontario’s
aging Candus have been refurbished, and at great over-expenditure (no
surprise here). Yet all of Ontario’s Candus are approaching the
time of reckoning (within 9 years) where they will need this costly rebuild.
If the track record of refurbishing is anything like that of the original
Candu, the reliability of electrical production will not be anything like
the nuclear promoters have promised.
Base and
Peak Loads:
When challenged about its decision to expand nuclear the McGuinty government
reflexively says it needs nuclear power to provide reliable base load
capacity, which is likely intended to reassure both industry and homeowners,
but mostly voters. To unravel these semantics we need to distinguish between
base-load and peak-load. The former is the steady capacity, which goes
day and night, whereas the peak-load capacity is what is ramped up and
down to meet high demand periods. And as Solomon says “any plant
can be a base load plant…but no nuclear plants can be a peaking
plant.” He notes that, “No jurisdiction…starts up nuclear
reactors to meet peak needs because doing so would be dangerous as well
as costly.” So in that sense nuclear can only provide base load.
But as Solomon also points out, “Base load plants, before the arrival
of nuclear power, were typically low-cost, low-performance stations.”
“With the advent of nuclear reactors, base-load plants became high-cost,
low-performance nuclear stations – the utilities had no other use
for them.”
What this means is that nuclear plants don’t lower costs, as base-load
plants have historically done. Meanwhile, while costing more, nuclear
power actually lowers the reliability of electrical generation. Ontario’s
Candus are notorious for their downtime: between 1998-2004, 8 Candu reactors
were totally out of service. It was primarily the reduction in demand
for electricity and, secondarily, the cheaper coal-fired plants that provided
crucial backup, and avoided blackouts and electrical rationing. In view
of nuclear’s low-reliability it seems a rip-off that Ontario Power
Generation and Bruce Power get higher prices for base-load nuclear power
than is received for the much more flexible and reliable coal plants.
To help legitimize (and hide) the high costs of nuclear plants these are
paid through a separate levy to the ratepayer.
So, Ontario counting on nuclear expansion to save it from an electrical
shortfall is naïve, costly and risky. McGuinty’s government
is also caught between the unrealistic nature of his electrical energy
“plan” (expensive nukes) and the growing vulnerability of
the AECL. Even though Harper is out-spending all past federal Liberal
governments on bailouts and handouts to the AECL that may not save it.
And so nuclear expansion in Ontario could mean turning the nuclear sector
over to the French or US nuclear industry.
We know the foreign nuclear industry is watching in the wings. Areva has
already offered to buy out AECL to create room for it to expand into Ontario,
and is engaged in strong-armed promotions to build one of its reactors
near the town of Whitecourt, AB. (The AECL, backed by Bruce Power including
Cameco is also proposing a nuclear reactor complex near Peace River, AB.)
Areva and US nuclear giants, GE and Westinghouse, have also been asked
to bid on Ontario’s nuclear future. And they aren’t just motivated
by subsidies and profits. This is also about consolidating the nuclear
fuel system within Canada as a hinterland of these nuclear powers. Both
France and the US depend completely on Canada (i.e. Saskatchewan) for
uranium fuel, and they’d “love” to have a uranium hinterland
that would help them solve their problem of accumulating reactor spent-fuel.
This scenario certainly applies to the US, which is running into ecological
and engineering problems with its nuclear waste experience at Yucca Mountain,
Nevada. The AECL and Cameco are on record since the early 1990s as supporting
Canada taking back nuclear wastes from countries that import our uranium.
This is the scheme that Gorge Bush adopted in 2005 as his Global Nuclear
Energy Plan (GNEP), for which the Harper government has shown definite
support.
Ontario’s planned nuclear expansion may yet trigger a new round
of energy politics in Canada. Most Canadians (80%) don’t believe
nuclear energy should expand without a solution to the nuclear waste problem.
While the nuclear industry has been engaged in a “public acceptance”
program, after 60 years there is still no answer to the nuclear waste
problem. It is unlikely that many Canadians will support us taking back
other countries’ nuclear wastes.
I realize that politically McGuinty only has to convince the Ontario electorate
that he has a plan to ensure electrical security, for he will not be Premier
from 2014-2022 if (when) the supply and demand curves fail to meet. Hopefully,
his government or his successor will be prepared to update their learning
curve.
Starting at the Beginning: Reduce:
A better understanding of the revolution occurring in conservation and
sustainable energy could change everything. It would be far more realistic
for the McGuinty government to intentionally embrace what history has
already revealed as the great potential of electrical productivity, than
to stubbornly persist with the fallacious “nuclear story”.
A fetish for nuclear power increasing electrical supply ignores the potential
for demand side management (DSM). The McGuinty government’s electrical
growth strategy will very likely not be able to increase capacity to provide
the additional 60,000 to 100,000 GW.hours of electricity required over
the coming decade. What is needed is an aggressive non-nuclear DSM strategy.
Torrie estimates that 7-9 % out of the 21% of Ontario energy that is in
the electrical sector is used for space and water heating. This use of
electricity, irrational from a physics and energy efficiency perspective,
grew when Ontario Hydro encouraged the population to “live better
electrically.” Ontario Hydro needed more sales from electrical consumption
as a means to manage the huge debt load resulting from its overcapacity,
and related ignorance or denial of the potential of energy efficiency
and renewables. This shows how profitable market mechanisms and the political
economic power of the nuclear elite drove energy policy.
If this electricity was replaced with thermal (solar) heat or natural
gas , then as much as one-third of Ontario’s demand for electricity
could be reduced. If you also expand the use of waste heat for electrical
co-generation, and phase in wind and solar electricity, the demand and
supply curves will be much more likely to meet while still phasing out
coal. The short-term benefits of the costly refurbishing of the remaining
Candu plants will prove unattractive within this scenario, and a responsible
nuclear phase-out can continue.
The need to shift from the present hard energy path to a soft energy path
confronted us in the mid-1970s after the OPEC oil crisis. It was ignored
with the help of delusional thinking and deceptive promotions from the
highly subsidized nuclear industry. This helped make the climate change
crisis even greater for today’s generations. With the growing climate
change challenge, the need for such a shift in thinking and energy strategy
is back, staring us in the face, but so far the Ontario government has
bought the old-world view hook line and sinker. If the transition isn’t
seriously started this time round, it will be left for our future kin;
except the timelines for reducing GHGs will be much more urgent then and
climate change thresholds may have been passed. It is therefore imperative
that we get it right this time around.
Even though nuclear energy somewhat reduces GHGs compared to coal it can’t
make up for the fossil fuels it uses for two decades. GHGs can be reduced
much more quickly and cheaply by conservation, including electrical productivity,
along with co-generation and the renewables. Yet if more public funds
are squandered on nuclear, and the electrical market is unfairly protected
for nuclear power to expand in, to appear to make it more cost-effective,
then the resources and room for innovation to seriously move towards the
soft energy path will be compromised. This is sort of like chopping off
one foot to replace the other one when it is broken.
To make the required shift in thinking and technology to seriously tackle
climate change, while being realistic about energy demand and supply,
Ontarians will have to mobilize from the bottom-up. The alliance to protect
the Mississippi watershed from uranium exploration and mining, and the
grass-roots citizen science which is exposing the environmental health
threats from the whole nuclear fuel system, from Elliot Lake to Port Hope,
are all helping push Ontario towards a sustainable future. The conversion
toward electrical and other energy productivity also needs to be advanced
within regional economic development/ ecological preservation networks
and coalitions built upon growing watershed awareness, and even from recycling
infrastructures. But it is now also vital to rethink “politics”,
which means continuing to work for a more democratic voting system and
doing the other groundwork required for the political realignment that
can bring the “Green” perspective into the places of political
power.
Respectfully
submitted, Jim Harding, Ph.D.* April 13, 2008
* Jim Harding is Adjunct Professor of Justice Studies, past Director of
Prairie Justice Research Consortium, and past Director and Professor of
the School of Human Justice at the University of Regina. He is also past
Professor of Environmental Studies, University of Waterloo, and past Professor
of Psychology at Lakehead University, Thunder Bay, Ontario.
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